Evan Soltas
Feb 29, 2016

Who Is Voting For Trump?

"I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don't know. They're outside my ken. But sometimes when I'm in a theater I can feel them." — Pauline Kael, 1972

"I began to ask everyone I met: Do you know anyone who supports Donald Trump? In more cases than not—actually, in nearly all the cases—the answer was no." —Byron York, 2016

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Two factors explain 60 percent of all the variance in Trump's support across 227 New Hampshire voting precincts:
Household income and population are insignificant statistically or substantively. Here is a visualization of Trump voters as both moderate and low-education, where I split the 227 precincts into PVI and education quintiles:
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My data set is here for your amusement. Compiled from New Hampshire Public Radio, Will Tucker, and the American Community Survey.