EITC and Minimum Wage
I wrote a post in January arguing for an increase in the Earned Income Tax Credit, an income transfer which goes largely to poor families, as an alternative to an increase in the federal minimum wage. Some left-leaning economic commentators responded that I had imposed a false choice between the EITC and the minimum wage. The two, they said, were complements which should be increased together.
I was a month early to the debate.
President Obama, in his State of the Union address, called for an increase in the minimum wage. And the case that the EITC and minimum wage complement each other has become louder. It's appeared, most recently, in pieces by Mike Konczal of the Roosevelt Institute and Paul Krugman in the New York Times. Krugman writes:
[I]t’s important to understand how the minimum wage interacts with other policies aimed at helping lower-paid workers, in particular the earned-income tax credit, which helps low-income families who help themselves...But it has a well-known defect: Some of its benefits end up flowing not to workers but to employers, in the form of lower wages. And guess what? An increase in the minimum wage helps correct this defect.The EITC probably does depress pre-transfer wages. The argument isn't new. I can track it back to Bluestone and Ghilarducci (1992), at least. But before leaping to the argument that a minimum wage would shift more of the subsidy to workers, it's worth asking why it does so.
The labor supply must be somewhat elastic to income if employers capture some share of the gains from the EITC. (If labor supply were perfectly inelastic, then the EITC gains would go entirely to workers.) This fact, however, implies something else -- namely, that there should be some effect on unemployment from the minimum wage.
To the extent that the minimum wage does not generate unemployment, in other words, the EITC will not generate an increase in the "surplus" which goes to employers. Both effects come from elasticity.
Second, I think we should be wary before associating an economic effect (that employers should receive some of the transfer) with a normative statement (that employers don't deserve it). I think there are a pair of underlying assumptions here: (1) that transfers to employers are regressive, and (2) that the minimum wage is the right policy to reduce such transfers.
On the former, it will always be the case that some "employer surplus" goes to small business owners who are EITC-eligible themselves, or receive some other form of subsidy from government. So I don't find it a particularly convincing argument that we ought to write off that portion of the surplus as entirely wasted.
And, on the latter, I certainly do not find it convincing that the best policy solution, if we want to target the EITC's gains as narrowly as possible to the poor, is the minimum wage. Why can't we just increase the progressivity of the corporate income tax? We could eliminate the employer gains which go to wealthier employers that way, too. (In a formal parliamentary-debate setting, these benefits are "non-unique" and do not count to either side.) And, while we're talking about targeting the gains: The average income of an EITC beneficiary family is substantially lower than that of a family with at least one minimum-wage earner.
In general, I worry about overstating the strength of consensus of the research for either side in the conversation about the interaction of the minimum wage and EITC. And I remain open, as always, to persuasive argument. My evolving view at this time is that (1) increasing the minimum wage provides no unique benefits as a complement to the EITC which could not be matched by other tax policy, and (2) that the minimum wage may be uniquely disadvantaged by the vice of being a price control rather than a tax/subsidy.